Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.035283 0.040813 0.046940 0.054234 0.062685 0.072174 0.083645
2026-01-25 0.027228 0.034649 0.043692 0.055535 0.070662 0.089371 0.114324
2026-02-01 0.021277 0.029108 0.039368 0.053821 0.073711 0.100202 0.138310
2026-02-08 0.017683 0.025667 0.036765 0.053362 0.077647 0.112030 0.164681
2026-02-15 0.015040 0.022968 0.034563 0.052820 0.080985 0.123023 0.190979
2026-02-22 0.013334 0.021305 0.033503 0.053615 0.086144 0.137047 0.223436
2026-03-01 0.011732 0.019528 0.031958 0.053322 0.089394 0.148317 0.252847
2026-03-08 0.010198 0.017621 0.029910 0.051855 0.090397 0.155893 0.276927
2026-03-15 0.008927 0.015970 0.028044 0.050388 0.091101 0.162887 0.300706
2026-03-22 0.008224 0.015208 0.027584 0.051279 0.095998 0.177677 0.340331
2026-03-29 0.007530 0.014365 0.026864 0.051572 0.099778 0.190810 0.378483
2026-04-05 0.006904 0.013567 0.026119 0.051701 0.103211 0.203628 0.417607
2026-04-12 0.006398 0.012951 0.025668 0.052392 0.107939 0.219740 0.466044
2026-04-19 0.006004 0.012509 0.025506 0.053647 0.113981 0.239275 0.524462
2026-04-26 0.005361 0.011476 0.024032 0.051992 0.113712 0.245711 0.555544
2026-05-03 0.004908 0.010787 0.023182 0.051549 0.115972 0.257767 0.600740
2026-05-10 0.004499 0.010142 0.022347 0.051025 0.117966 0.269445 0.646646
2026-05-17 0.004236 0.009788 0.022102 0.051793 0.122989 0.288544 0.712744
2026-05-24 0.003920 0.009276 0.021441 0.051510 0.125498 0.302102 0.767213
2026-05-31 0.003558 0.008613 0.020361 0.050093 0.125085 0.308624 0.804903
2026-06-07 0.003234 0.008003 0.019333 0.048677 0.124489 0.314609 0.842045
2026-06-14 0.003077 0.007785 0.019222 0.049538 0.129778 0.336006 0.923134
2026-06-21 0.002900 0.007494 0.018901 0.049821 0.133599 0.354106 0.997857